Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007657 0.008581 0.009591 0.010782 0.012151 0.013680 0.015524
2025-04-20 0.006138 0.007370 0.008833 0.010711 0.013079 0.015990 0.019881
2025-04-27 0.005475 0.006884 0.008652 0.011061 0.014301 0.018571 0.024729
2025-05-04 0.004880 0.006358 0.008295 0.011062 0.014982 0.020452 0.028862
2025-05-11 0.004452 0.005980 0.008057 0.011146 0.015732 0.022463 0.033434
2025-05-18 0.004048 0.005578 0.007724 0.011030 0.016139 0.023982 0.037450
2025-05-25 0.003773 0.005325 0.007565 0.011132 0.016858 0.026039 0.042630
2025-06-01 0.003489 0.005026 0.007303 0.011036 0.017236 0.027570 0.047141
2025-06-08 0.003177 0.004657 0.006896 0.010660 0.017097 0.028194 0.050093
2025-06-15 0.002996 0.004472 0.006755 0.010694 0.017642 0.030061 0.055685
2025-06-22 0.002910 0.004426 0.006828 0.011086 0.018848 0.033277 0.064529
2025-06-29 0.002704 0.004171 0.006537 0.010821 0.018828 0.034168 0.068685
2025-07-06 0.002503 0.003918 0.006242 0.010543 0.018800 0.035134 0.073424
2025-07-13 0.002359 0.003751 0.006082 0.010497 0.019222 0.037095 0.080935
2025-07-20 0.002292 0.003707 0.006129 0.010837 0.020444 0.040920 0.093825
2025-07-27 0.002179 0.003574 0.006006 0.010838 0.020970 0.043308 0.103684
2025-08-03 0.002088 0.003473 0.005930 0.010921 0.021676 0.046216 0.115691
2025-08-10 0.001978 0.003330 0.005766 0.010807 0.021936 0.048112 0.125355
2025-08-17 0.001904 0.003247 0.005709 0.010907 0.022684 0.051322 0.139818
2025-08-24 0.001813 0.003126 0.005566 0.010813 0.022975 0.053425 0.151471
2025-08-31 0.001696 0.002950 0.005308 0.010446 0.022573 0.053653 0.157089
2025-09-07 0.001634 0.002873 0.005236 0.010479 0.023145 0.056607 0.172923
2025-09-14 0.001612 0.002873 0.005318 0.010862 0.024636 0.062402 0.200976